How To Punt Free Throw Percentage and Field Goal Percentage for Your Fantasy Basketball Draft
How To Punt Free Throw Percentage and Field Goal Percentage for Your Fantasy Basketball Draft
Written by Mike Muskett (@statdance) on 21 October 2016
Written by Mike Muskett
(@statdance) on 21 October 2016
A traditional punting strategy, punting both of the percentages and turnovers, gives a good introduction to punting and makes for a nicely balanced roster.
A traditional punting strategy, punting both of the percentages and turnovers, gives a good introduction to punting and makes for a nicely balanced roster.
Punting is a great way to maximize your value in your draft in head to head leagues. Here is a traditional punting strategy I have calculated using Hashtag Basketball's own projections. This strategy punts the categories that can be negative: Turnovers, Field Goal Percentage, and Free Throw Percentage. The key to this strategy is to pick players that accumulate counting statistics with high-volume shooting. The best value picks will be bigs that shoot terrible free throw percentage (classic Shaq) and guards that take a ton of shots (classic Kobe).
Going round-by-round (assuming a 10 team league) here is some great value:
Early First Round: James Harden, Steph Curry, Westbrook
Mid First Round: Whiteside. He is a top 10 pick in every league, and you don't mind if his free throw shooting regresses!
Late First Round: Durant, CP3, Anthony Davis, or Demarcus Cousins
Second Round: Draymond Green, Wall, or Paul Millsap
Third Round: Porzingis, Lowry, or Kemba Walker
Fourth Round: DeAndre Jordan or Andre Drummond, I prefer Drummond but they have similar projections. Bledsoe is also a good pick if you can't get one of the Centers.
Fifth Round: Batum or Gobert. Someone French.
Sixth Round: Dwight Howard, Rondo, or D'Angelo Russell if he fell this low.
Seventh Round: Mirotic, Lin, or Nerlens Noel are good values here.
Eighth Round: Clint Capela, Jrue Holiday, or Robert Covington
Ninth Round on:
Some great players to focus on late in the draft are:
Player |
Value |
Yahoo ADP |
Danny Green (SG, SF) |
49 |
99 |
Kent Bazemore (SG, SF) |
55 |
102 |
Emmanuel Mudiay (PG) |
62 |
127 |
Kris Dunn (PG) |
64 |
128 |
Delly (PG, SG) |
70 |
139 |
Ben Simmons (SF, PF) |
71 |
100 |
Jerryd Bayless (PG, SG) |
73 |
145 |
Patrick Beverly (PG, SG) |
77 |
117 |
Kelly Olynyk (C) |
104 |
149 |
Elfrid Payton (PG) |
100 |
117 |
Here are the entire projections, with values specific to this punting strategy:
(Note there is no Yahoo position eligibility if the player is not in the top 150 of Yahoo ADP)
Rank |
Player |
Yahoo Pos |
Y ADP |
PuntFGTOFT |
1 |
Russell Westbrook |
PG |
3.1 |
127.43 |
2 |
James Harden |
PG,SG,SF |
3.3 |
125.27 |
3 |
Hassan Whiteside |
C |
13.8 |
118.72 |
4 |
Stephen Curry |
PG,SG |
1.8 |
111.02 |
5 |
Anthony Davis |
PF,C |
7.7 |
105.69 |
6 |
DeMarcus Cousins |
PF,C |
13.9 |
104.95 |
7 |
John Wall |
PG |
20.3 |
103.97 |
8 |
Draymond Green |
SF,PF |
19.2 |
100.52 |
9 |
Paul Millsap |
PF,C |
17.5 |
96.74 |
10 |
Kyle Lowry |
PG |
20.7 |
96.59 |
11 |
Chris Paul |
PG |
9.6 |
96.01 |
12 |
Kevin Durant |
SF,PF |
2.6 |
95.53 |
13 |
Kemba Walker |
PG |
27.1 |
92.47 |
14 |
Damian Lillard |
PG |
11.7 |
91.68 |
15 |
Kristaps Porzingis |
PF,C |
25.6 |
91.57 |
16 |
Kawhi Leonard |
SG,SF |
7 |
89.77 |
17 |
LeBron James |
SF,PF |
8 |
88.41 |
18 |
Giannis Antetokounmpo |
PG,SG,SF |
10.5 |
87.22 |
19 |
Victor Oladipo |
PG,SG |
26.2 |
84.72 |
20 |
Paul George |
SF,PF |
10.7 |
83.87 |
21 |
Karl-Anthony Towns |
C |
6.3 |
82.68 |
22 |
Al Horford |
PF,C |
19.8 |
80.76 |
23 |
Nicolas Batum |
SG,SF |
56.7 |
80.61 |
24 |
DeAndre Jordan |
C |
42.7 |
79.52 |
25 |
Eric Bledsoe |
PG,SG |
35 |
79.25 |
26 |
Andre Drummond |
PF,C |
41.6 |
75.51 |
27 |
Jrue Holiday |
PG |
95.4 |
75.5 |
28 |
Dwight Howard |
PF,C |
74 |
74.79 |
29 |
D'Angelo Russell |
PG |
81.3 |
72.24 |
30 |
Nikola Mirotic |
SF,PF |
79.6 |
71.95 |
31 |
Pau Gasol |
PF,C |
50.9 |
71.85 |
32 |
Kevin Love |
PF,C |
33.5 |
71.46 |
33 |
Rudy Gobert |
C |
47.9 |
70.9 |
34 |
Dennis Schroder |
PG |
72.8 |
70.35 |
35 |
Robert Covington |
SF,PF |
104.6 |
69.84 |
36 |
C.J. McCollum |
PG,SG |
33.9 |
69.32 |
37 |
Clint Capela |
PF,C |
109.5 |
67.99 |
38 |
Jeremy Lin |
PG,SG |
97.2 |
67.94 |
39 |
Carmelo Anthony |
SF,PF |
28.7 |
67.22 |
40 |
Andrew Bogut |
C |
123 |
67.18 |
41 |
Isaiah Thomas |
PG |
34.6 |
67.16 |
42 |
Rajon Rondo |
PG |
67.4 |
66.88 |
43 |
Tyreke Evans |
PG,SG |
117.9 |
65.93 |
44 |
Jimmy Butler |
SG,SF |
15.4 |
65.34 |
45 |
Nikola Jokic |
C |
36.8 |
65.32 |
46 |
Brook Lopez |
C |
32.7 |
64.41 |
47 |
Serge Ibaka |
PF,C |
29.3 |
63.24 |
48 |
Klay Thompson |
SG,SF |
23.2 |
63.17 |
49 |
Danny Green |
SG,SF |
98.7 |
62.99 |
50 |
Mike Conley |
PG |
43 |
62.67 |
51 |
Ricky Rubio |
PG |
49.7 |
62.11 |
52 |
Nerlens Noel |
PF,C |
62.4 |
61.94 |
53 |
Derrick Favors |
PF,C |
32.4 |
61.61 |
54 |
Kyrie Irving |
PG,SG |
20.5 |
61.42 |
55 |
Kent Bazemore |
SG,SF |
101.8 |
61.12 |
56 |
Michael Carter-Williams |
- |
- |
60.62 |
57 |
Joakim Noah |
PF,C |
121.8 |
60.31 |
58 |
Goran Dragic |
PG,SG |
57.5 |
59.52 |
59 |
Rudy Gay |
SF,PF |
63.3 |
58.86 |
60 |
Marc Gasol |
C |
57.1 |
58.28 |
61 |
Gordon Hayward |
SG,SF |
49.8 |
58 |
62 |
Emmanuel Mudiay |
PG |
126.5 |
57.83 |
63 |
Reggie Jackson |
PG,SG |
66.8 |
57.57 |
64 |
Kris Dunn |
PG |
137.5 |
57.08 |
65 |
Jae Crowder |
SF,PF |
72 |
56.83 |
66 |
Monta Ellis |
PG,SG |
85.7 |
56.78 |
67 |
Myles Turner |
PF,C |
59 |
56.21 |
68 |
Jeff Teague |
PG |
55.4 |
55.87 |
69 |
Marvin Williams |
SF,PF |
106.6 |
55.47 |
70 |
Matthew Dellavedova |
PG,SG |
138.6 |
54.8 |
71 |
Ben Simmons |
SF,PF |
99.7 |
54.5 |
72 |
Markieff Morris |
PF,C |
119.2 |
54.43 |
73 |
Jerryd Bayless |
PG,SG |
145.1 |
52.99 |
74 |
Blake Griffin |
PF,C |
28.8 |
52.61 |
75 |
Brandon Ingram |
SF |
120.8 |
52.07 |
76 |
Trevor Ariza |
SG,SF |
51.3 |
51.99 |
77 |
Patrick Beverley |
PG,SG |
117.3 |
51.79 |
78 |
DeMarre Carroll |
SF,PF |
93.4 |
51.74 |
79 |
Otto Porter |
SF |
62.5 |
51.3 |
80 |
Nikola Vucevic |
PF,C |
52.8 |
51.1 |
81 |
Dirk Nowitzki |
PF,C |
55 |
50.91 |
82 |
Brandon Knight |
PG,SG |
78 |
50.81 |
83 |
Deron Williams |
PG |
114.3 |
50.41 |
84 |
Jonas Valanciunas |
C |
38.8 |
50.31 |
85 |
Chandler Parsons |
SF,PF |
79.9 |
50.28 |
86 |
Darren Collison |
PG |
68.3 |
49.77 |
87 |
Wesley Matthews |
SG,SF |
93.7 |
49.71 |
88 |
Gorgui Dieng |
PF,C |
53.4 |
49.59 |
89 |
J.R. Smith |
SG,SF |
114.8 |
48.34 |
90 |
Robin Lopez |
C |
89.9 |
48.27 |
91 |
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson |
- |
- |
48.17 |
92 |
Jordan Clarkson |
PG,SG |
91.8 |
48.04 |
93 |
Marcus Smart |
PG |
118.4 |
47.38 |
94 |
Kyle O'Quinn |
- |
- |
46.78 |
95 |
Rodney Hood |
SG,SF |
104 |
46.59 |
96 |
LaMarcus Aldridge |
PF,C |
22 |
46.42 |
97 |
Danilo Gallinari |
SF |
71.7 |
46.2 |
98 |
George Hill |
PG,SG |
81.9 |
45.8 |
99 |
Brandon Jennings |
PG |
138.9 |
45.66 |
100 |
Elfrid Payton |
PG |
116.9 |
45.64 |
101 |
Buddy Hield |
SG |
128.8 |
45.59 |
102 |
Aaron Gordon |
SF,PF |
71.3 |
45.52 |
103 |
Harrison Barnes |
SF,PF |
98 |
45.09 |
104 |
Kelly Olynyk |
C |
149.3 |
44.8 |
105 |
Marcin Gortat |
C |
64 |
44.25 |
106 |
Dwyane Wade |
PG,SG |
76.4 |
43.48 |
107 |
Greg Monroe |
PF,C |
74.7 |
42.93 |
108 |
DeMar DeRozan |
SG,SF |
41.6 |
42.72 |
109 |
Tobias Harris |
SF,PF |
45.4 |
42.71 |
110 |
Zach LaVine |
PG,SG |
65.9 |
42.69 |
111 |
Al-Farouq Aminu |
- |
- |
42.25 |
112 |
Luol Deng |
SF,PF |
116.1 |
42 |
113 |
Evan Fournier |
SG,SF |
80.7 |
41.97 |
114 |
Ryan Anderson |
PF,C |
72.1 |
41.02 |
115 |
Eric Gordon |
SG |
119.8 |
40.57 |
116 |
Avery Bradley |
PG,SG |
82.9 |
40.57 |
117 |
Andrew Wiggins |
SG,SF |
41.9 |
40.38 |
118 |
J.J. Redick |
SG |
91.5 |
40.16 |
119 |
Devin Booker |
SG |
88.2 |
39.56 |
120 |
Steven Adams |
C |
68.4 |
39.22 |
121 |
Bradley Beal |
SG |
78.1 |
38.96 |
122 |
Ty Lawson |
PG |
147.5 |
38.76 |
123 |
Kyle Korver |
SG,SF |
121.1 |
38.62 |
124 |
Chris Bosh |
PF,C |
102.1 |
38.39 |
125 |
Amir Johnson |
PF,C |
143.9 |
37.89 |
126 |
Courtney Lee |
SG,SF |
142 |
37.76 |
127 |
Jared Sullinger |
PF,C |
129.1 |
37.39 |
128 |
Thaddeus Young |
SF,PF |
78.7 |
37.24 |
129 |
Jusuf Nurkic |
C |
107.7 |
37.19 |
130 |
Patty Mills |
PG |
138.7 |
36.58 |
131 |
Wesley Johnson |
- |
- |
36.35 |
132 |
Josh Richardson |
SG,SF |
142.5 |
34.67 |
133 |
Jahlil Okafor |
C |
95.1 |
34.24 |
134 |
Enes Kanter |
C |
80.1 |
34.1 |
135 |
Marcus Morris |
SF,PF |
132.4 |
34.02 |
136 |
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope |
- |
- |
33.52 |
137 |
Alex Len |
PF,C |
139.2 |
33.14 |
138 |
Wade Baldwin |
- |
- |
33.08 |
139 |
Mason Plumlee |
PF,C |
123.5 |
32.42 |
140 |
Festus Ezeli |
- |
- |
32.42 |
141 |
Taj Gibson |
PF,C |
135.6 |
31.94 |
142 |
C.J. Miles |
- |
- |
31.74 |
143 |
Tristan Thompson |
PF,C |
115.4 |
31.27 |
144 |
Andre Iguodala |
SG,SF |
135 |
31.23 |
145 |
Al Jefferson |
PF,C |
125.8 |
31.15 |
146 |
Derrick Rose |
PG |
108 |
31.09 |
147 |
Joel Embiid |
C |
121.9 |
30.99 |
148 |
Channing Frye |
PF,C |
134.1 |
30.13 |
149 |
Tyler Johnson |
PG,SG |
142.8 |
30.06 |
150 |
Jabari Parker |
SF,PF |
63.9 |
29.97 |
151 |
Cole Aldrich |
- |
- |
29.74 |
152 |
Justise Winslow |
SF,PF |
128.5 |
29.51 |
153 |
Malcolm Delaney |
- |
- |
29.48 |
154 |
Julius Randle |
PF |
109.6 |
29.43 |
155 |
Trevor Booker |
PF |
140.7 |
29.33 |
156 |
Willie Cauley-Stein |
- |
- |
29.26 |
157 |
Jamal Murray |
SG |
143.8 |
29.09 |
158 |
Zaza Pachulia |
C |
138.8 |
29.03 |
159 |
Bojan Bogdanovic |
SG,SF |
138.2 |
28.71 |
160 |
Tony Allen |
- |
- |
28.15 |
161 |
Gerald Henderson |
- |
- |
27.9 |
162 |
Frank Kaminsky |
PF,C |
137.7 |
27.74 |
163 |
Gary Harris |
SG |
110.1 |
27.65 |
164 |
Kenneth Faried |
PF,C |
88.2 |
27.26 |
165 |
Andre Roberson |
- |
- |
27.06 |
166 |
Cody Zeller |
PF,C |
136.2 |
26.98 |
167 |
Tony Parker |
PG |
126.2 |
26.9 |
168 |
Bismack Biyombo |
PF,C |
107.9 |
26.79 |
169 |
Ersan Ilyasova |
SF,PF |
145.4 |
26.62 |
170 |
Jared Dudley |
- |
- |
26.51 |
171 |
Roy Hibbert |
C |
138 |
26.39 |
172 |
Sergio Rodriguez |
- |
- |
26.3 |
173 |
Will Barton |
SG,SF |
132.6 |
25.7 |
174 |
Mirza Teletovic |
SF,PF |
137.9 |
25.33 |
175 |
Timofey Mozgov |
C |
136.5 |
25.27 |
176 |
Ian Mahinmi |
C |
131.4 |
25.16 |
177 |
Kyle Anderson |
SF |
151.7 |
24.9 |
178 |
Terrence Jones |
SF,PF |
146.1 |
24.62 |
179 |
Evan Turner |
SG,SF |
136.9 |
24.49 |
180 |
JaMychal Green |
PF |
139.1 |
24.34 |
181 |
Dewayne Dedmon |
- |
- |
24.07 |
182 |
Manu Ginobili |
SG,SF |
132.8 |
24.01 |
183 |
Jamal Crawford |
SG,SF |
131.5 |
23.19 |
184 |
Tyson Chandler |
C |
137.6 |
23.19 |
185 |
Mario Hezonja |
SG |
139.9 |
23.17 |
186 |
Stanley Johnson |
SG,SF |
139.6 |
23.16 |
187 |
Iman Shumpert |
SG,SF |
130.6 |
22.94 |
188 |
T.J. Warren |
SF |
148.5 |
22.81 |
189 |
Caris LeVert |
- |
- |
22.67 |
190 |
Dwight Powell |
- |
- |
21.78 |
191 |
Matt Barnes |
SG,SF |
141.4 |
20.86 |
192 |
D.J. Augustin |
- |
- |
20.58 |
193 |
Ivica Zubac |
- |
- |
20.12 |
194 |
Zach Randolph |
PF,C |
104.5 |
19.73 |
195 |
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist |
- |
- |
19.58 |
196 |
Norman Powell |
- |
- |
19.51 |
197 |
Jeremy Lamb |
- |
- |
19.11 |
198 |
Omri Casspi |
- |
- |
18.79 |
199 |
Dante Exum |
PG |
148.5 |
18.1 |
200 |
Patrick Patterson |
PF,C |
136.2 |
17.78 |
201 |
Thabo Sefolosha |
- |
- |
17.54 |
202 |
Cory Joseph |
PG |
137.5 |
17.13 |
203 |
Jeff Green |
SG,SF |
140.5 |
16.76 |
204 |
Jose Juan Barea |
- |
- |
16.05 |
205 |
Ish Smith |
PG |
136.4 |
15.92 |
206 |
Larry Nance Jr. |
PF |
141.6 |
15.16 |
207 |
Miles Plumlee |
- |
- |
15.01 |
208 |
Allen Crabbe |
PG,SG |
146.2 |
14.96 |
209 |
Dario Saric |
PF |
137.3 |
14.7 |
210 |
Trey Burke |
PG |
149.5 |
14.59 |
211 |
John Henson |
PF,C |
139.4 |
14.45 |
212 |
Brandan Wright |
- |
- |
14.38 |
213 |
Cameron Payne |
- |
- |
14.37 |
214 |
Ben McLemore |
SG |
138.4 |
14.26 |
215 |
Louis Williams |
- |
- |
13.19 |
216 |
Josh McRoberts |
- |
- |
13.03 |
217 |
P.J. Tucker |
SG,SF |
140.7 |
13.01 |
218 |
Jon Leuer |
- |
- |
12.47 |
219 |
Marreese Speights |
- |
- |
11.91 |
220 |
Meyers Leonard |
- |
- |
11.82 |
221 |
Austin Rivers |
- |
- |
11.58 |
222 |
Mike Dunleavy |
- |
- |
11.49 |
223 |
Dragan Bender |
PF |
147.5 |
11.01 |
224 |
David West |
PF |
149 |
10.94 |
225 |
Nene |
- |
- |
10.9 |
226 |
Wilson Chandler |
SG,SF |
134.2 |
10.88 |
227 |
Kris Humphries |
- |
- |
10.02 |
228 |
Sasha Vujacic |
- |
- |
9.91 |
229 |
Langston Galloway |
- |
- |
9.86 |
230 |
Dion Waiters |
SG,SF |
141.7 |
9.25 |
231 |
Marquese Chriss |
PF |
143.7 |
9.23 |
232 |
Maurice Harkless |
- |
- |
9.19 |
233 |
Arron Afflalo |
SG,SF |
143.2 |
8.91 |
234 |
Greivis Vasquez |
- |
- |
8.87 |
235 |
Seth Curry |
PG |
139.8 |
8.43 |
236 |
Andrew Nicholson |
- |
- |
7.92 |
237 |
Aron Baynes |
- |
- |
7.75 |
238 |
Joe Johnson |
SG,SF |
140.7 |
7.24 |
239 |
Paul Pierce |
SF,PF |
129.7 |
7.23 |
240 |
Terrence Ross |
SG,SF |
138 |
7 |
241 |
Solomon Hill |
SG,SF |
143.5 |
6.49 |
242 |
Shaun Livingston |
PG,SG |
133.1 |
6.06 |
243 |
Jerian Grant |
- |
- |
5.89 |
244 |
Bobby Portis |
PF,C |
143.4 |
5.79 |
245 |
Chris McCullough |
- |
- |
5.51 |
246 |
Kevin Seraphin |
- |
- |
5.47 |
247 |
Jaylen Brown |
SF |
137.4 |
4.96 |
248 |
Aaron Brooks |
- |
- |
4.85 |
249 |
Luis Scola |
- |
- |
4.72 |
250 |
Jameer Nelson |
- |
- |
4.43 |
251 |
Shabazz Muhammad |
- |
- |
4.38 |
252 |
Vince Carter |
- |
- |
4.34 |
253 |
Anthony Morrow |
- |
- |
4.09 |
254 |
Trey Lyles |
PF |
139.8 |
3.75 |
255 |
James Johnson |
- |
- |
2.81 |
256 |
Rashad Vaughn |
- |
- |
2.53 |
257 |
Brandon Bass |
- |
- |
2.34 |
258 |
Dante Cunningham |
- |
- |
2.23 |
259 |
Randy Foye |
- |
- |
2.03 |
260 |
Doug McDermott |
SF |
139 |
1.99 |
261 |
Ed Davis |
PF,C |
142.8 |
1.83 |
262 |
Mo Williams |
PG,SG |
149.6 |
1.3 |
263 |
Omer Asik |
- |
- |
1.06 |
264 |
Alonzo Gee |
- |
- |
0.8 |
265 |
Tomas Satoransky |
- |
- |
0.67 |
266 |
Quincy Acy |
- |
- |
0.54 |
267 |
Sean Kilpatrick |
SG |
142.3 |
0.21 |
268 |
Joffrey Lauvergne |
- |
- |
-0.03 |
269 |
Corey Brewer |
- |
- |
-0.07 |
270 |
Gerald Green |
- |
- |
-0.29 |
271 |
Kelly Oubre |
- |
- |
-0.45 |
272 |
Derrick Williams |
- |
- |
-0.66 |
273 |
David Lee |
PF,C |
134.9 |
-1.57 |
274 |
Lance Thomas |
- |
- |
-1.7 |
275 |
Tim Hardaway Jr. |
- |
- |
-2.05 |
276 |
Rodney Stuckey |
- |
- |
-3.07 |
277 |
James Ennis |
- |
- |
-3.37 |
278 |
James Ennis |
- |
- |
-3.37 |
279 |
Brandon Rush |
- |
- |
-3.39 |
280 |
Devin Harris |
- |
- |
-3.67 |
281 |
James Michael McAdoo |
- |
- |
-3.68 |
282 |
Tiago Splitter |
- |
- |
-4.36 |
283 |
Lucas Nogueira |
- |
- |
-5.39 |
284 |
Ramon Sessions |
- |
- |
-6.25 |
285 |
Anderson Varejao |
- |
- |
-6.3 |
286 |
Marco Belinelli |
- |
- |
-6.41 |
287 |
Pablo Prigioni |
- |
- |
-6.55 |
288 |
Kyle Singler |
- |
- |
-6.83 |
289 |
Alec Burks |
PG,SG |
149.6 |
-7.31 |
290 |
Michael Beasley |
SF,PF |
140.4 |
-7.96 |
291 |
Tony Snell |
- |
- |
-9.28 |
292 |
Tyler Zeller |
- |
- |
-9.62 |
293 |
Jose Calderon |
- |
- |
-9.88 |
294 |
Nik Stauskas |
- |
- |
-9.89 |
295 |
Jodie Meeks |
- |
- |
-10.15 |
296 |
Tony Wroten |
- |
- |
-10.24 |
297 |
Jordan Hill |
- |
- |
-10.5 |
298 |
Boris Diaw |
- |
- |
-11.69 |
299 |
Kosta Koufos |
- |
- |
-12.35 |
300 |
Shabazz Napier |
- |
- |
-12.77 |
301 |
Jeff Withey |
- |
- |
-13.34 |
302 |
Reggie Bullock |
- |
- |
-20.11 |
303 |
Jonas Jerebko |
- |
- |
-21.22 |
Punting is a great way to maximize your value in your draft in head to head leagues. Here is a traditional punting strategy I have calculated using Hashtag Basketball's own projections. This strategy punts the categories that can be negative: Turnovers, Field Goal Percentage, and Free Throw Percentage. The key to this strategy is to pick players that accumulate counting statistics with high-volume shooting. The best value picks will be bigs that shoot terrible free throw percentage (classic Shaq) and guards that take a ton of shots (classic Kobe).
Going round-by-round (assuming a 10 team league) here is some great value:
Early First Round: James Harden, Steph Curry, Westbrook
Mid First Round: Whiteside. He is a top 10 pick in every league, and you don't mind if his free throw shooting regresses!
Late First Round: Durant, CP3, Anthony Davis, or Demarcus Cousins
Second Round: Draymond Green, Wall, or Paul Millsap
Third Round: Porzingis, Lowry, or Kemba Walker
Fourth Round: DeAndre Jordan or Andre Drummond, I prefer Drummond but they have similar projections. Bledsoe is also a good pick if you can't get one of the Centers.
Fifth Round: Batum or Gobert. Someone French.
Sixth Round: Dwight Howard, Rondo, or D'Angelo Russell if he fell this low.
Seventh Round: Mirotic, Lin, or Nerlens Noel are good values here.
Eighth Round: Clint Capela, Jrue Holiday, or Robert Covington
Ninth Round on:
Some great players to focus on late in the draft are:
Player |
Value |
Yahoo ADP |
Danny Green (SG, SF) |
49 |
99 |
Kent Bazemore (SG, SF) |
55 |
102 |
Emmanuel Mudiay (PG) |
62 |
127 |
Kris Dunn (PG) |
64 |
128 |
Delly (PG, SG) |
70 |
139 |
Ben Simmons (SF, PF) |
71 |
100 |
Jerryd Bayless (PG, SG) |
73 |
145 |
Patrick Beverly (PG, SG) |
77 |
117 |
Kelly Olynyk (C) |
104 |
149 |
Elfrid Payton (PG) |
100 |
117 |
Here are the entire projections, with values specific to this punting strategy:
(Note there is no Yahoo position eligibility if the player is not in the top 150 of Yahoo ADP)
Rank |
Player |
Yahoo Pos |
Y ADP |
PuntFGTOFT |
1 |
Russell Westbrook |
PG |
3.1 |
127.43 |
2 |
James Harden |
PG,SG,SF |
3.3 |
125.27 |
3 |
Hassan Whiteside |
C |
13.8 |
118.72 |
4 |
Stephen Curry |
PG,SG |
1.8 |
111.02 |
5 |
Anthony Davis |
PF,C |
7.7 |
105.69 |
6 |
DeMarcus Cousins |
PF,C |
13.9 |
104.95 |
7 |
John Wall |
PG |
20.3 |
103.97 |
8 |
Draymond Green |
SF,PF |
19.2 |
100.52 |
9 |
Paul Millsap |
PF,C |
17.5 |
96.74 |
10 |
Kyle Lowry |
PG |
20.7 |
96.59 |
11 |
Chris Paul |
PG |
9.6 |
96.01 |
12 |
Kevin Durant |
SF,PF |
2.6 |
95.53 |
13 |
Kemba Walker |
PG |
27.1 |
92.47 |
14 |
Damian Lillard |
PG |
11.7 |
91.68 |
15 |
Kristaps Porzingis |
PF,C |
25.6 |
91.57 |
16 |
Kawhi Leonard |
SG,SF |
7 |
89.77 |
17 |
LeBron James |
SF,PF |
8 |
88.41 |
18 |
Giannis Antetokounmpo |
PG,SG,SF |
10.5 |
87.22 |
19 |
Victor Oladipo |
PG,SG |
26.2 |
84.72 |
20 |
Paul George |
SF,PF |
10.7 |
83.87 |
21 |
Karl-Anthony Towns |
C |
6.3 |
82.68 |
22 |
Al Horford |
PF,C |
19.8 |
80.76 |
23 |
Nicolas Batum |
SG,SF |
56.7 |
80.61 |
24 |
DeAndre Jordan |
C |
42.7 |
79.52 |
25 |
Eric Bledsoe |
PG,SG |
35 |
79.25 |
26 |
Andre Drummond |
PF,C |
41.6 |
75.51 |
27 |
Jrue Holiday |
PG |
95.4 |
75.5 |
28 |
Dwight Howard |
PF,C |
74 |
74.79 |
29 |
D'Angelo Russell |
PG |
81.3 |
72.24 |
30 |
Nikola Mirotic |
SF,PF |
79.6 |
71.95 |
31 |
Pau Gasol |
PF,C |
50.9 |
71.85 |
32 |
Kevin Love |
PF,C |
33.5 |
71.46 |
33 |
Rudy Gobert |
C |
47.9 |
70.9 |
34 |
Dennis Schroder |
PG |
72.8 |
70.35 |
35 |
Robert Covington |
SF,PF |
104.6 |
69.84 |
36 |
C.J. McCollum |
PG,SG |
33.9 |
69.32 |
37 |
Clint Capela |
PF,C |
109.5 |
67.99 |
38 |
Jeremy Lin |
PG,SG |
97.2 |
67.94 |
39 |
Carmelo Anthony |
SF,PF |
28.7 |
67.22 |
40 |
Andrew Bogut |
C |
123 |
67.18 |
41 |
Isaiah Thomas |
PG |
34.6 |
67.16 |
42 |
Rajon Rondo |
PG |
67.4 |
66.88 |
43 |
Tyreke Evans |
PG,SG |
117.9 |
65.93 |
44 |
Jimmy Butler |
SG,SF |
15.4 |
65.34 |
45 |
Nikola Jokic |
C |
36.8 |
65.32 |
46 |
Brook Lopez |
C |
32.7 |
64.41 |
47 |
Serge Ibaka |
PF,C |
29.3 |
63.24 |
48 |
Klay Thompson |
SG,SF |
23.2 |
63.17 |
49 |
Danny Green |
SG,SF |
98.7 |
62.99 |
50 |
Mike Conley |
PG |
43 |
62.67 |
51 |
Ricky Rubio |
PG |
49.7 |
62.11 |
52 |
Nerlens Noel |
PF,C |
62.4 |
61.94 |
53 |
Derrick Favors |
PF,C |
32.4 |
61.61 |
54 |
Kyrie Irving |
PG,SG |
20.5 |
61.42 |
55 |
Kent Bazemore |
SG,SF |
101.8 |
61.12 |
56 |
Michael Carter-Williams |
- |
- |
60.62 |
57 |
Joakim Noah |
PF,C |
121.8 |
60.31 |
58 |
Goran Dragic |
PG,SG |
57.5 |
59.52 |
59 |
Rudy Gay |
SF,PF |
63.3 |
58.86 |
60 |
Marc Gasol |
C |
57.1 |
58.28 |
61 |
Gordon Hayward |
SG,SF |
49.8 |
58 |
62 |
Emmanuel Mudiay |
PG |
126.5 |
57.83 |
63 |
Reggie Jackson |
PG,SG |
66.8 |
57.57 |
64 |
Kris Dunn |
PG |
137.5 |
57.08 |
65 |
Jae Crowder |
SF,PF |
72 |
56.83 |
66 |
Monta Ellis |
PG,SG |
85.7 |
56.78 |
67 |
Myles Turner |
PF,C |
59 |
56.21 |
68 |
Jeff Teague |
PG |
55.4 |
55.87 |
69 |
Marvin Williams |
SF,PF |
106.6 |
55.47 |
70 |
Matthew Dellavedova |
PG,SG |
138.6 |
54.8 |
71 |
Ben Simmons |
SF,PF |
99.7 |
54.5 |
72 |
Markieff Morris |
PF,C |
119.2 |
54.43 |
73 |
Jerryd Bayless |
PG,SG |
145.1 |
52.99 |
74 |
Blake Griffin |
PF,C |
28.8 |
52.61 |
75 |
Brandon Ingram |
SF |
120.8 |
52.07 |
76 |
Trevor Ariza |
SG,SF |
51.3 |
51.99 |
77 |
Patrick Beverley |
PG,SG |
117.3 |
51.79 |
78 |
DeMarre Carroll |
SF,PF |
93.4 |
51.74 |
79 |
Otto Porter |
SF |
62.5 |
51.3 |
80 |
Nikola Vucevic |
PF,C |
52.8 |
51.1 |
81 |
Dirk Nowitzki |
PF,C |
55 |
50.91 |
82 |
Brandon Knight |
PG,SG |
78 |
50.81 |
83 |
Deron Williams |
PG |
114.3 |
50.41 |
84 |
Jonas Valanciunas |
C |
38.8 |
50.31 |
85 |
Chandler Parsons |
SF,PF |
79.9 |
50.28 |
86 |
Darren Collison |
PG |
68.3 |
49.77 |
87 |
Wesley Matthews |
SG,SF |
93.7 |
49.71 |
88 |
Gorgui Dieng |
PF,C |
53.4 |
49.59 |
89 |
J.R. Smith |
SG,SF |
114.8 |
48.34 |
90 |
Robin Lopez |
C |
89.9 |
48.27 |
91 |
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson |
- |
- |
48.17 |
92 |
Jordan Clarkson |
PG,SG |
91.8 |
48.04 |
93 |
Marcus Smart |
PG |
118.4 |
47.38 |
94 |
Kyle O'Quinn |
- |
- |
46.78 |
95 |
Rodney Hood |
SG,SF |
104 |
46.59 |
96 |
LaMarcus Aldridge |
PF,C |
22 |
46.42 |
97 |
Danilo Gallinari |
SF |
71.7 |
46.2 |
98 |
George Hill |
PG,SG |
81.9 |
45.8 |
99 |
Brandon Jennings |
PG |
138.9 |
45.66 |
100 |
Elfrid Payton |
PG |
116.9 |
45.64 |
101 |
Buddy Hield |
SG |
128.8 |
45.59 |
102 |
Aaron Gordon |
SF,PF |
71.3 |
45.52 |
103 |
Harrison Barnes |
SF,PF |
98 |
45.09 |
104 |
Kelly Olynyk |
C |
149.3 |
44.8 |
105 |
Marcin Gortat |
C |
64 |
44.25 |
106 |
Dwyane Wade |
PG,SG |
76.4 |
43.48 |
107 |
Greg Monroe |
PF,C |
74.7 |
42.93 |
108 |
DeMar DeRozan |
SG,SF |
41.6 |
42.72 |
109 |
Tobias Harris |
SF,PF |
45.4 |
42.71 |
110 |
Zach LaVine |
PG,SG |
65.9 |
42.69 |
111 |
Al-Farouq Aminu |
- |
- |
42.25 |
112 |
Luol Deng |
SF,PF |
116.1 |
42 |
113 |
Evan Fournier |
SG,SF |
80.7 |
41.97 |
114 |
Ryan Anderson |
PF,C |
72.1 |
41.02 |
115 |
Eric Gordon |
SG |
119.8 |
40.57 |
116 |
Avery Bradley |
PG,SG |
82.9 |
40.57 |
117 |
Andrew Wiggins |
SG,SF |
41.9 |
40.38 |
118 |
J.J. Redick |
SG |
91.5 |
40.16 |
119 |
Devin Booker |
SG |
88.2 |
39.56 |
120 |
Steven Adams |
C |
68.4 |
39.22 |
121 |
Bradley Beal |
SG |
78.1 |
38.96 |
122 |
Ty Lawson |
PG |
147.5 |
38.76 |
123 |
Kyle Korver |
SG,SF |
121.1 |
38.62 |
124 |
Chris Bosh |
PF,C |
102.1 |
38.39 |
125 |
Amir Johnson |
PF,C |
143.9 |
37.89 |
126 |
Courtney Lee |
SG,SF |
142 |
37.76 |
127 |
Jared Sullinger |
PF,C |
129.1 |
37.39 |
128 |
Thaddeus Young |
SF,PF |
78.7 |
37.24 |
129 |
Jusuf Nurkic |
C |
107.7 |
37.19 |
130 |
Patty Mills |
PG |
138.7 |
36.58 |
131 |
Wesley Johnson |
- |
- |
36.35 |
132 |
Josh Richardson |
SG,SF |
142.5 |
34.67 |
133 |
Jahlil Okafor |
C |
95.1 |
34.24 |
134 |
Enes Kanter |
C |
80.1 |
34.1 |
135 |
Marcus Morris |
SF,PF |
132.4 |
34.02 |
136 |
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope |
- |
- |
33.52 |
137 |
Alex Len |
PF,C |
139.2 |
33.14 |
138 |
Wade Baldwin |
- |
- |
33.08 |
139 |
Mason Plumlee |
PF,C |
123.5 |
32.42 |
140 |
Festus Ezeli |
- |
- |
32.42 |
141 |
Taj Gibson |
PF,C |
135.6 |
31.94 |
142 |
C.J. Miles |
- |
- |
31.74 |
143 |
Tristan Thompson |
PF,C |
115.4 |
31.27 |
144 |
Andre Iguodala |
SG,SF |
135 |
31.23 |
145 |
Al Jefferson |
PF,C |
125.8 |
31.15 |
146 |
Derrick Rose |
PG |
108 |
31.09 |
147 |
Joel Embiid |
C |
121.9 |
30.99 |
148 |
Channing Frye |
PF,C |
134.1 |
30.13 |
149 |
Tyler Johnson |
PG,SG |
142.8 |
30.06 |
150 |
Jabari Parker |
SF,PF |
63.9 |
29.97 |
151 |
Cole Aldrich |
- |
- |
29.74 |
152 |
Justise Winslow |
SF,PF |
128.5 |
29.51 |
153 |
Malcolm Delaney |
- |
- |
29.48 |
154 |
Julius Randle |
PF |
109.6 |
29.43 |
155 |
Trevor Booker |
PF |
140.7 |
29.33 |
156 |
Willie Cauley-Stein |
- |
- |
29.26 |
157 |
Jamal Murray |
SG |
143.8 |
29.09 |
158 |
Zaza Pachulia |
C |
138.8 |
29.03 |
159 |
Bojan Bogdanovic |
SG,SF |
138.2 |
28.71 |
160 |
Tony Allen |
- |
- |
28.15 |
161 |
Gerald Henderson |
- |
- |
27.9 |
162 |
Frank Kaminsky |
PF,C |
137.7 |
27.74 |
163 |
Gary Harris |
SG |
110.1 |
27.65 |
164 |
Kenneth Faried |
PF,C |
88.2 |
27.26 |
165 |
Andre Roberson |
- |
- |
27.06 |
166 |
Cody Zeller |
PF,C |
136.2 |
26.98 |
167 |
Tony Parker |
PG |
126.2 |
26.9 |
168 |
Bismack Biyombo |
PF,C |
107.9 |
26.79 |
169 |
Ersan Ilyasova |
SF,PF |
145.4 |
26.62 |
170 |
Jared Dudley |
- |
- |
26.51 |
171 |
Roy Hibbert |
C |
138 |
26.39 |
172 |
Sergio Rodriguez |
- |
- |
26.3 |
173 |
Will Barton |
SG,SF |
132.6 |
25.7 |
174 |
Mirza Teletovic |
SF,PF |
137.9 |
25.33 |
175 |
Timofey Mozgov |
C |
136.5 |
25.27 |
176 |
Ian Mahinmi |
C |
131.4 |
25.16 |
177 |
Kyle Anderson |
SF |
151.7 |
24.9 |
178 |
Terrence Jones |
SF,PF |
146.1 |
24.62 |
179 |
Evan Turner |
SG,SF |
136.9 |
24.49 |
180 |
JaMychal Green |
PF |
139.1 |
24.34 |
181 |
Dewayne Dedmon |
- |
- |
24.07 |
182 |
Manu Ginobili |
SG,SF |
132.8 |
24.01 |
183 |
Jamal Crawford |
SG,SF |
131.5 |
23.19 |
184 |
Tyson Chandler |
C |
137.6 |
23.19 |
185 |
Mario Hezonja |
SG |
139.9 |
23.17 |
186 |
Stanley Johnson |
SG,SF |
139.6 |
23.16 |
187 |
Iman Shumpert |
SG,SF |
130.6 |
22.94 |
188 |
T.J. Warren |
SF |
148.5 |
22.81 |
189 |
Caris LeVert |
- |
- |
22.67 |
190 |
Dwight Powell |
- |
- |
21.78 |
191 |
Matt Barnes |
SG,SF |
141.4 |
20.86 |
192 |
D.J. Augustin |
- |
- |
20.58 |
193 |
Ivica Zubac |
- |
- |
20.12 |
194 |
Zach Randolph |
PF,C |
104.5 |
19.73 |
195 |
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist |
- |
- |
19.58 |
196 |
Norman Powell |
- |
- |
19.51 |
197 |
Jeremy Lamb |
- |
- |
19.11 |
198 |
Omri Casspi |
- |
- |
18.79 |
199 |
Dante Exum |
PG |
148.5 |
18.1 |
200 |
Patrick Patterson |
PF,C |
136.2 |
17.78 |
201 |
Thabo Sefolosha |
- |
- |
17.54 |
202 |
Cory Joseph |
PG |
137.5 |
17.13 |
203 |
Jeff Green |
SG,SF |
140.5 |
16.76 |
204 |
Jose Juan Barea |
- |
- |
16.05 |
205 |
Ish Smith |
PG |
136.4 |
15.92 |
206 |
Larry Nance Jr. |
PF |
141.6 |
15.16 |
207 |
Miles Plumlee |
- |
- |
15.01 |
208 |
Allen Crabbe |
PG,SG |
146.2 |
14.96 |
209 |
Dario Saric |
PF |
137.3 |
14.7 |
210 |
Trey Burke |
PG |
149.5 |
14.59 |
211 |
John Henson |
PF,C |
139.4 |
14.45 |
212 |
Brandan Wright |
- |
- |
14.38 |
213 |
Cameron Payne |
- |
- |
14.37 |
214 |
Ben McLemore |
SG |
138.4 |
14.26 |
215 |
Louis Williams |
- |
- |
13.19 |
216 |
Josh McRoberts |
- |
- |
13.03 |
217 |
P.J. Tucker |
SG,SF |
140.7 |
13.01 |
218 |
Jon Leuer |
- |
- |
12.47 |
219 |
Marreese Speights |
- |
- |
11.91 |
220 |
Meyers Leonard |
- |
- |
11.82 |
221 |
Austin Rivers |
- |
- |
11.58 |
222 |
Mike Dunleavy |
- |
- |
11.49 |
223 |
Dragan Bender |
PF |
147.5 |
11.01 |
224 |
David West |
PF |
149 |
10.94 |
225 |
Nene |
- |
- |
10.9 |
226 |
Wilson Chandler |
SG,SF |
134.2 |
10.88 |
227 |
Kris Humphries |
- |
- |
10.02 |
228 |
Sasha Vujacic |
- |
- |
9.91 |
229 |
Langston Galloway |
- |
- |
9.86 |
230 |
Dion Waiters |
SG,SF |
141.7 |
9.25 |
231 |
Marquese Chriss |
PF |
143.7 |
9.23 |
232 |
Maurice Harkless |
- |
- |
9.19 |
233 |
Arron Afflalo |
SG,SF |
143.2 |
8.91 |
234 |
Greivis Vasquez |
- |
- |
8.87 |
235 |
Seth Curry |
PG |
139.8 |
8.43 |
236 |
Andrew Nicholson |
- |
- |
7.92 |
237 |
Aron Baynes |
- |
- |
7.75 |
238 |
Joe Johnson |
SG,SF |
140.7 |
7.24 |
239 |
Paul Pierce |
SF,PF |
129.7 |
7.23 |
240 |
Terrence Ross |
SG,SF |
138 |
7 |
241 |
Solomon Hill |
SG,SF |
143.5 |
6.49 |
242 |
Shaun Livingston |
PG,SG |
133.1 |
6.06 |
243 |
Jerian Grant |
- |
- |
5.89 |
244 |
Bobby Portis |
PF,C |
143.4 |
5.79 |
245 |
Chris McCullough |
- |
- |
5.51 |
246 |
Kevin Seraphin |
- |
- |
5.47 |
247 |
Jaylen Brown |
SF |
137.4 |
4.96 |
248 |
Aaron Brooks |
- |
- |
4.85 |
249 |
Luis Scola |
- |
- |
4.72 |
250 |
Jameer Nelson |
- |
- |
4.43 |
251 |
Shabazz Muhammad |
- |
- |
4.38 |
252 |
Vince Carter |
- |
- |
4.34 |
253 |
Anthony Morrow |
- |
- |
4.09 |
254 |
Trey Lyles |
PF |
139.8 |
3.75 |
255 |
James Johnson |
- |
- |
2.81 |
256 |
Rashad Vaughn |
- |
- |
2.53 |
257 |
Brandon Bass |
- |
- |
2.34 |
258 |
Dante Cunningham |
- |
- |
2.23 |
259 |
Randy Foye |
- |
- |
2.03 |
260 |
Doug McDermott |
SF |
139 |
1.99 |
261 |
Ed Davis |
PF,C |
142.8 |
1.83 |
262 |
Mo Williams |
PG,SG |
149.6 |
1.3 |
263 |
Omer Asik |
- |
- |
1.06 |
264 |
Alonzo Gee |
- |
- |
0.8 |
265 |
Tomas Satoransky |
- |
- |
0.67 |
266 |
Quincy Acy |
- |
- |
0.54 |
267 |
Sean Kilpatrick |
SG |
142.3 |
0.21 |
268 |
Joffrey Lauvergne |
- |
- |
-0.03 |
269 |
Corey Brewer |
- |
- |
-0.07 |
270 |
Gerald Green |
- |
- |
-0.29 |
271 |
Kelly Oubre |
- |
- |
-0.45 |
272 |
Derrick Williams |
- |
- |
-0.66 |
273 |
David Lee |
PF,C |
134.9 |
-1.57 |
274 |
Lance Thomas |
- |
- |
-1.7 |
275 |
Tim Hardaway Jr. |
- |
- |
-2.05 |
276 |
Rodney Stuckey |
- |
- |
-3.07 |
277 |
James Ennis |
- |
- |
-3.37 |
278 |
James Ennis |
- |
- |
-3.37 |
279 |
Brandon Rush |
- |
- |
-3.39 |
280 |
Devin Harris |
- |
- |
-3.67 |
281 |
James Michael McAdoo |
- |
- |
-3.68 |
282 |
Tiago Splitter |
- |
- |
-4.36 |
283 |
Lucas Nogueira |
- |
- |
-5.39 |
284 |
Ramon Sessions |
- |
- |
-6.25 |
285 |
Anderson Varejao |
- |
- |
-6.3 |
286 |
Marco Belinelli |
- |
- |
-6.41 |
287 |
Pablo Prigioni |
- |
- |
-6.55 |
288 |
Kyle Singler |
- |
- |
-6.83 |
289 |
Alec Burks |
PG,SG |
149.6 |
-7.31 |
290 |
Michael Beasley |
SF,PF |
140.4 |
-7.96 |
291 |
Tony Snell |
- |
- |
-9.28 |
292 |
Tyler Zeller |
- |
- |
-9.62 |
293 |
Jose Calderon |
- |
- |
-9.88 |
294 |
Nik Stauskas |
- |
- |
-9.89 |
295 |
Jodie Meeks |
- |
- |
-10.15 |
296 |
Tony Wroten |
- |
- |
-10.24 |
297 |
Jordan Hill |
- |
- |
-10.5 |
298 |
Boris Diaw |
- |
- |
-11.69 |
299 |
Kosta Koufos |
- |
- |
-12.35 |
300 |
Shabazz Napier |
- |
- |
-12.77 |
301 |
Jeff Withey |
- |
- |
-13.34 |
302 |
Reggie Bullock |
- |
- |
-20.11 |
303 |
Jonas Jerebko |
- |
- |
-21.22 |