How To Punt Free Throw Percentage and Field Goal Percentage for Your Fantasy Basketball Draft


Punting is a great way to maximize your value in your draft in head to head leagues. Here is a traditional punting strategy I have calculated using Hashtag Basketball's own projections. This strategy punts the categories that can be negative: Turnovers, Field Goal Percentage, and Free Throw Percentage. The key to this strategy is to pick players that accumulate counting statistics with high-volume shooting. The best value picks will be bigs that shoot terrible free throw percentage (classic Shaq) and guards that take a ton of shots (classic Kobe).

Going round-by-round (assuming a 10 team league) here is some great value:

Early First Round: James Harden, Steph Curry, Westbrook

Mid First Round: Whiteside. He is a top 10 pick in every league, and you don't mind if his free throw shooting regresses!

Late First Round: Durant, CP3, Anthony Davis, or Demarcus Cousins

Second Round: Draymond Green, Wall, or Paul Millsap

Third Round: Porzingis, Lowry, or Kemba Walker

Fourth Round: DeAndre Jordan or Andre Drummond, I prefer Drummond but they have similar projections. Bledsoe is also a good pick if you can't get one of the Centers.

Fifth Round: Batum or Gobert. Someone French. 

Sixth Round: Dwight Howard, Rondo, or D'Angelo Russell if he fell this low.

Seventh Round: Mirotic, Lin,  or Nerlens Noel are good values here.

Eighth Round: Clint Capela, Jrue Holiday, or Robert Covington

Ninth Round on:

 Some great players to focus on late in the draft are:

Player Value Yahoo ADP
Danny Green (SG, SF) 49 99
Kent Bazemore (SG, SF) 55 102
Emmanuel Mudiay (PG) 62 127
Kris Dunn (PG) 64 128
Delly (PG, SG) 70 139
Ben Simmons (SF, PF) 71 100
Jerryd Bayless (PG, SG) 73 145
Patrick Beverly (PG, SG) 77 117
Kelly Olynyk (C) 104 149
Elfrid Payton (PG) 100 117

Here are the entire projections, with values specific to this punting strategy: 

(Note there is no Yahoo position eligibility if the player is not in the top 150 of Yahoo ADP)

Rank Player Yahoo Pos Y ADP PuntFGTOFT
1 Russell Westbrook PG 3.1 127.43
2 James Harden PG,SG,SF 3.3 125.27
3 Hassan Whiteside C 13.8 118.72
4 Stephen Curry PG,SG 1.8 111.02
5 Anthony Davis PF,C 7.7 105.69
6 DeMarcus Cousins PF,C 13.9 104.95
7 John Wall PG 20.3 103.97
8 Draymond Green SF,PF 19.2 100.52
9 Paul Millsap PF,C 17.5 96.74
10 Kyle Lowry PG 20.7 96.59
11 Chris Paul PG 9.6 96.01
12 Kevin Durant SF,PF 2.6 95.53
13 Kemba Walker PG 27.1 92.47
14 Damian Lillard PG 11.7 91.68
15 Kristaps Porzingis PF,C 25.6 91.57
16 Kawhi Leonard SG,SF 7 89.77
17 LeBron James SF,PF 8 88.41
18 Giannis Antetokounmpo PG,SG,SF 10.5 87.22
19 Victor Oladipo PG,SG 26.2 84.72
20 Paul George SF,PF 10.7 83.87
21 Karl-Anthony Towns C 6.3 82.68
22 Al Horford PF,C 19.8 80.76
23 Nicolas Batum SG,SF 56.7 80.61
24 DeAndre Jordan C 42.7 79.52
25 Eric Bledsoe PG,SG 35 79.25
26 Andre Drummond PF,C 41.6 75.51
27 Jrue Holiday PG 95.4 75.5
28 Dwight Howard PF,C 74 74.79
29 D'Angelo Russell PG 81.3 72.24
30 Nikola Mirotic SF,PF 79.6 71.95
31 Pau Gasol PF,C 50.9 71.85
32 Kevin Love PF,C 33.5 71.46
33 Rudy Gobert C 47.9 70.9
34 Dennis Schroder PG 72.8 70.35
35 Robert Covington SF,PF 104.6 69.84
36 C.J. McCollum PG,SG 33.9 69.32
37 Clint Capela PF,C 109.5 67.99
38 Jeremy Lin PG,SG 97.2 67.94
39 Carmelo Anthony SF,PF 28.7 67.22
40 Andrew Bogut C 123 67.18
41 Isaiah Thomas PG 34.6 67.16
42 Rajon Rondo PG 67.4 66.88
43 Tyreke Evans PG,SG 117.9 65.93
44 Jimmy Butler SG,SF 15.4 65.34
45 Nikola Jokic C 36.8 65.32
46 Brook Lopez C 32.7 64.41
47 Serge Ibaka PF,C 29.3 63.24
48 Klay Thompson SG,SF 23.2 63.17
49 Danny Green SG,SF 98.7 62.99
50 Mike Conley PG 43 62.67
51 Ricky Rubio PG 49.7 62.11
52 Nerlens Noel PF,C 62.4 61.94
53 Derrick Favors PF,C 32.4 61.61
54 Kyrie Irving PG,SG 20.5 61.42
55 Kent Bazemore SG,SF 101.8 61.12
56 Michael Carter-Williams - - 60.62
57 Joakim Noah PF,C 121.8 60.31
58 Goran Dragic PG,SG 57.5 59.52
59 Rudy Gay SF,PF 63.3 58.86
60 Marc Gasol C 57.1 58.28
61 Gordon Hayward SG,SF 49.8 58
62 Emmanuel Mudiay PG 126.5 57.83
63 Reggie Jackson PG,SG 66.8 57.57
64 Kris Dunn PG 137.5 57.08
65 Jae Crowder SF,PF 72 56.83
66 Monta Ellis PG,SG 85.7 56.78
67 Myles Turner PF,C 59 56.21
68 Jeff Teague PG 55.4 55.87
69 Marvin Williams SF,PF 106.6 55.47
70 Matthew Dellavedova PG,SG 138.6 54.8
71 Ben Simmons SF,PF 99.7 54.5
72 Markieff Morris PF,C 119.2 54.43
73 Jerryd Bayless PG,SG 145.1 52.99
74 Blake Griffin PF,C 28.8 52.61
75 Brandon Ingram SF 120.8 52.07
76 Trevor Ariza SG,SF 51.3 51.99
77 Patrick Beverley PG,SG 117.3 51.79
78 DeMarre Carroll SF,PF 93.4 51.74
79 Otto Porter SF 62.5 51.3
80 Nikola Vucevic PF,C 52.8 51.1
81 Dirk Nowitzki PF,C 55 50.91
82 Brandon Knight PG,SG 78 50.81
83 Deron Williams PG 114.3 50.41
84 Jonas Valanciunas C 38.8 50.31
85 Chandler Parsons SF,PF 79.9 50.28
86 Darren Collison PG 68.3 49.77
87 Wesley Matthews SG,SF 93.7 49.71
88 Gorgui Dieng PF,C 53.4 49.59
89 J.R. Smith SG,SF 114.8 48.34
90 Robin Lopez C 89.9 48.27
91 Rondae Hollis-Jefferson - - 48.17
92 Jordan Clarkson PG,SG 91.8 48.04
93 Marcus Smart PG 118.4 47.38
94 Kyle O'Quinn - - 46.78
95 Rodney Hood SG,SF 104 46.59
96 LaMarcus Aldridge PF,C 22 46.42
97 Danilo Gallinari SF 71.7 46.2
98 George Hill PG,SG 81.9 45.8
99 Brandon Jennings PG 138.9 45.66
100 Elfrid Payton PG 116.9 45.64
101 Buddy Hield SG 128.8 45.59
102 Aaron Gordon SF,PF 71.3 45.52
103 Harrison Barnes SF,PF 98 45.09
104 Kelly Olynyk C 149.3 44.8
105 Marcin Gortat C 64 44.25
106 Dwyane Wade PG,SG 76.4 43.48
107 Greg Monroe PF,C 74.7 42.93
108 DeMar DeRozan SG,SF 41.6 42.72
109 Tobias Harris SF,PF 45.4 42.71
110 Zach LaVine PG,SG 65.9 42.69
111 Al-Farouq Aminu - - 42.25
112 Luol Deng SF,PF 116.1 42
113 Evan Fournier SG,SF 80.7 41.97
114 Ryan Anderson PF,C 72.1 41.02
115 Eric Gordon SG 119.8 40.57
116 Avery Bradley PG,SG 82.9 40.57
117 Andrew Wiggins SG,SF 41.9 40.38
118 J.J. Redick SG 91.5 40.16
119 Devin Booker SG 88.2 39.56
120 Steven Adams C 68.4 39.22
121 Bradley Beal SG 78.1 38.96
122 Ty Lawson PG 147.5 38.76
123 Kyle Korver SG,SF 121.1 38.62
124 Chris Bosh PF,C 102.1 38.39
125 Amir Johnson PF,C 143.9 37.89
126 Courtney Lee SG,SF 142 37.76
127 Jared Sullinger PF,C 129.1 37.39
128 Thaddeus Young SF,PF 78.7 37.24
129 Jusuf Nurkic C 107.7 37.19
130 Patty Mills PG 138.7 36.58
131 Wesley Johnson - - 36.35
132 Josh Richardson SG,SF 142.5 34.67
133 Jahlil Okafor C 95.1 34.24
134 Enes Kanter C 80.1 34.1
135 Marcus Morris SF,PF 132.4 34.02
136 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope - - 33.52
137 Alex Len PF,C 139.2 33.14
138 Wade Baldwin - - 33.08
139 Mason Plumlee PF,C 123.5 32.42
140 Festus Ezeli - - 32.42
141 Taj Gibson PF,C 135.6 31.94
142 C.J. Miles - - 31.74
143 Tristan Thompson PF,C 115.4 31.27
144 Andre Iguodala SG,SF 135 31.23
145 Al Jefferson PF,C 125.8 31.15
146 Derrick Rose PG 108 31.09
147 Joel Embiid C 121.9 30.99
148 Channing Frye PF,C 134.1 30.13
149 Tyler Johnson PG,SG 142.8 30.06
150 Jabari Parker SF,PF 63.9 29.97
151 Cole Aldrich - - 29.74
152 Justise Winslow SF,PF 128.5 29.51
153 Malcolm Delaney - - 29.48
154 Julius Randle PF 109.6 29.43
155 Trevor Booker PF 140.7 29.33
156 Willie Cauley-Stein - - 29.26
157 Jamal Murray SG 143.8 29.09
158 Zaza Pachulia C 138.8 29.03
159 Bojan Bogdanovic SG,SF 138.2 28.71
160 Tony Allen - - 28.15
161 Gerald Henderson - - 27.9
162 Frank Kaminsky PF,C 137.7 27.74
163 Gary Harris SG 110.1 27.65
164 Kenneth Faried PF,C 88.2 27.26
165 Andre Roberson - - 27.06
166 Cody Zeller PF,C 136.2 26.98
167 Tony Parker PG 126.2 26.9
168 Bismack Biyombo PF,C 107.9 26.79
169 Ersan Ilyasova SF,PF 145.4 26.62
170 Jared Dudley - - 26.51
171 Roy Hibbert C 138 26.39
172 Sergio Rodriguez - - 26.3
173 Will Barton SG,SF 132.6 25.7
174 Mirza Teletovic SF,PF 137.9 25.33
175 Timofey Mozgov C 136.5 25.27
176 Ian Mahinmi C 131.4 25.16
177 Kyle Anderson SF 151.7 24.9
178 Terrence Jones SF,PF 146.1 24.62
179 Evan Turner SG,SF 136.9 24.49
180 JaMychal Green PF 139.1 24.34
181 Dewayne Dedmon - - 24.07
182 Manu Ginobili SG,SF 132.8 24.01
183 Jamal Crawford SG,SF 131.5 23.19
184 Tyson Chandler C 137.6 23.19
185 Mario Hezonja SG 139.9 23.17
186 Stanley Johnson SG,SF 139.6 23.16
187 Iman Shumpert SG,SF 130.6 22.94
188 T.J. Warren SF 148.5 22.81
189 Caris LeVert - - 22.67
190 Dwight Powell - - 21.78
191 Matt Barnes SG,SF 141.4 20.86
192 D.J. Augustin - - 20.58
193 Ivica Zubac - - 20.12
194 Zach Randolph PF,C 104.5 19.73
195 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist - - 19.58
196 Norman Powell - - 19.51
197 Jeremy Lamb - - 19.11
198 Omri Casspi - - 18.79
199 Dante Exum PG 148.5 18.1
200 Patrick Patterson PF,C 136.2 17.78
201 Thabo Sefolosha - - 17.54
202 Cory Joseph PG 137.5 17.13
203 Jeff Green SG,SF 140.5 16.76
204 Jose Juan Barea - - 16.05
205 Ish Smith PG 136.4 15.92
206 Larry Nance Jr. PF 141.6 15.16
207 Miles Plumlee - - 15.01
208 Allen Crabbe PG,SG 146.2 14.96
209 Dario Saric PF 137.3 14.7
210 Trey Burke PG 149.5 14.59
211 John Henson PF,C 139.4 14.45
212 Brandan Wright - - 14.38
213 Cameron Payne - - 14.37
214 Ben McLemore SG 138.4 14.26
215 Louis Williams - - 13.19
216 Josh McRoberts - - 13.03
217 P.J. Tucker SG,SF 140.7 13.01
218 Jon Leuer - - 12.47
219 Marreese Speights - - 11.91
220 Meyers Leonard - - 11.82
221 Austin Rivers - - 11.58
222 Mike Dunleavy - - 11.49
223 Dragan Bender PF 147.5 11.01
224 David West PF 149 10.94
225 Nene - - 10.9
226 Wilson Chandler SG,SF 134.2 10.88
227 Kris Humphries - - 10.02
228 Sasha Vujacic - - 9.91
229 Langston Galloway - - 9.86
230 Dion Waiters SG,SF 141.7 9.25
231 Marquese Chriss PF 143.7 9.23
232 Maurice Harkless - - 9.19
233 Arron Afflalo SG,SF 143.2 8.91
234 Greivis Vasquez - - 8.87
235 Seth Curry PG 139.8 8.43
236 Andrew Nicholson - - 7.92
237 Aron Baynes - - 7.75
238 Joe Johnson SG,SF 140.7 7.24
239 Paul Pierce SF,PF 129.7 7.23
240 Terrence Ross SG,SF 138 7
241 Solomon Hill SG,SF 143.5 6.49
242 Shaun Livingston PG,SG 133.1 6.06
243 Jerian Grant - - 5.89
244 Bobby Portis PF,C 143.4 5.79
245 Chris McCullough - - 5.51
246 Kevin Seraphin - - 5.47
247 Jaylen Brown SF 137.4 4.96
248 Aaron Brooks - - 4.85
249 Luis Scola - - 4.72
250 Jameer Nelson - - 4.43
251 Shabazz Muhammad - - 4.38
252 Vince Carter - - 4.34
253 Anthony Morrow - - 4.09
254 Trey Lyles PF 139.8 3.75
255 James Johnson - - 2.81
256 Rashad Vaughn - - 2.53
257 Brandon Bass - - 2.34
258 Dante Cunningham - - 2.23
259 Randy Foye - - 2.03
260 Doug McDermott SF 139 1.99
261 Ed Davis PF,C 142.8 1.83
262 Mo Williams PG,SG 149.6 1.3
263 Omer Asik - - 1.06
264 Alonzo Gee - - 0.8
265 Tomas Satoransky - - 0.67
266 Quincy Acy - - 0.54
267 Sean Kilpatrick SG 142.3 0.21
268 Joffrey Lauvergne - - -0.03
269 Corey Brewer - - -0.07
270 Gerald Green - - -0.29
271 Kelly Oubre - - -0.45
272 Derrick Williams - - -0.66
273 David Lee PF,C 134.9 -1.57
274 Lance Thomas - - -1.7
275 Tim Hardaway Jr. - - -2.05
276 Rodney Stuckey - - -3.07
277 James Ennis - - -3.37
278 James Ennis - - -3.37
279 Brandon Rush - - -3.39
280 Devin Harris - - -3.67
281 James Michael McAdoo - - -3.68
282 Tiago Splitter - - -4.36
283 Lucas Nogueira - - -5.39
284 Ramon Sessions - - -6.25
285 Anderson Varejao - - -6.3
286 Marco Belinelli - - -6.41
287 Pablo Prigioni - - -6.55
288 Kyle Singler - - -6.83
289 Alec Burks PG,SG 149.6 -7.31
290 Michael Beasley SF,PF 140.4 -7.96
291 Tony Snell - - -9.28
292 Tyler Zeller - - -9.62
293 Jose Calderon - - -9.88
294 Nik Stauskas - - -9.89
295 Jodie Meeks - - -10.15
296 Tony Wroten - - -10.24
297 Jordan Hill - - -10.5
298 Boris Diaw - - -11.69
299 Kosta Koufos - - -12.35
300 Shabazz Napier - - -12.77
301 Jeff Withey - - -13.34
302 Reggie Bullock - - -20.11
303 Jonas Jerebko - - -21.22
Like what you've read? Share it with your friends on      or