Houston Rockets Fantasy Basketball Season Preview
Houston Rockets Fantasy Basketball Season Preview
Written by Joshua Morris on 21 September 2016
Written by Joshua Morris
on 21 September 2016
We preview the Houston Rockets and the impact their players will have on the 2016-2017 fantasy basketball season.
We preview the Houston Rockets and the impact their players will have on the 2016-2017 fantasy basketball season.
The itinerant shoulder model has moved home and the hirsuite Harden is poised to begin his reign as scoring champ under Mike D’Antoni. By hiring D’Antoni the Rockets are going all in on their gameplan of “score-first, defend-never” and the results should be pretty exciting for fantasy owners.
Newcomers Eric Gordon and Ryan Anderson bring with them great outside shooting as well as injury concerns. The exit of Dwight Howard leaves a big gap at the five that should provide Clint Capela with increased usage and minutes.
Player Movement
Notable Ins |
Notable Outs |
Eric Gordon New Orleans Pelicans
Nene Washington Wizards
Ryan Anderson New Orleans Pelicans
|
Dwight Howard Atlanta Hawks
Terrence Jones New Orleans Pelicans
Ty Lawson Sacramento Kings
|
Houston Rockets Depth Chart
Point Guard |
Shooting Guard |
Small Forward |
Power Forward |
Center |
Patrick Beverley
Pablo Prigioni
|
James Harden
Eric Gordon
K.J. McDaniels
|
Trevor Ariza
Corey Brewer
Sam Dekker
|
Ryan Anderson
Michael Beasley
Montrezl Harrell
|
Clint Capela
Nene
|
Rotation Player Projections
POS |
PLAYER |
USG |
MPG |
PTS |
REB |
AST |
STL |
BLK |
3PM |
FG% |
FT% |
TO |
SG |
James Harden |
36 |
36 |
30.4 |
5.8 |
7.9 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
3 |
43.9 |
86 |
4.8 |
C |
Clint Capela |
16 |
30 |
11 |
10.1 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
0 |
58.2 |
37.9 |
1.3 |
SF |
Trevor Ariza |
15.8 |
30 |
10.8 |
3.8 |
2 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
2 |
41.6 |
78.3 |
1.2 |
PF |
Ryan Anderson |
21.7 |
30 |
14.7 |
5.9 |
1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
42.7 |
87.3 |
1.2 |
PG |
Patrick Beverley |
15.4 |
29 |
10 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
43.4 |
68.2 |
1.3 |
SG |
Eric Gordon |
20.3 |
28 |
12.9 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
2.1 |
41.8 |
88.8 |
1.4 |
C |
Nene |
21.5 |
16 |
7.7 |
3.8 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0 |
54.4 |
57.8 |
1.1 |
PF |
Michael Beasley |
22 |
16 |
8.4 |
4.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
52.2 |
77.6 |
0.8 |
SF |
Corey Brewer |
15.9 |
15 |
4.7 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
38.4 |
75 |
0.7 |
PG |
Pablo Prigioni |
11.1 |
10 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0 |
0.4 |
37.4 |
87.5 |
0.6 |
Position Battles
Second Guard
I’m anticipating that D’Antoni rolls out a Gordon and Harden backcourt as often or more than he rolls out a Harden and Beverley backcourt. Beverley is a defensive specialist and I think D’Antoni values that less than having a knockdown shooter for his offense. Phoenix was deadly because the Stoudemire/Nash pick and roll would pull defenders away from the shooters waiting on the wings or in the corner. If those shooters are of the Eric Gordon/Ryan Anderson caliber then the defense has to respect the shooter and that opens up more space for the rolling big or for the PG to keep his dribble and drive. All of this works better with Harden handling the ball, and with Gordon as an active threat on the outside.
Rise in Value
James Harden
The usage will be higher. That’s all anyone knows for sure. Whether the fantasy boost is everywhere or just in certain categories is a matter of speculation. The general consensus is that his FG% will improve because of the floor spacing and the addition of better shooters, and his assists may actually increase since he’ll be passing to better shooters. I don’t foresee a big increase in points.
Clint Capela
One of my favorite picks for this year. Capela is poised for a huge year if his conditioning is good enough to keep him on the court for 25+. I’m anxious to see if he can effectively pick-and-roll with Harden. If that connection looks solid then watch out. CC has been working on his free throws in the offseason but he’s still quite terrible. If he starts putting up enough he could tank your FT%.
Decrease in Value
Patrick Beverley
If the Harden/Gordon backcourt takes off then Beverley’s minutes could drop low enough to render him fantasy useless.
Injury Risks
Eric Gordon
This year could be huge for Gordon if he stays healthy. As I mentioned above, I think he runs SG while Harden runs PG and that could work well for the Rockets. But his perennial troubles (last year it was a nagging finger injury) could hamper his ability to solidify his role on the team.
Ryan Anderson
Stretch fours look great in a D’Antoni system (e.g. Channing Frye with Phoenix) but Ryan will have to play through any one of his nagging and persistent issues.
Other Player Summaries
Trevor Ariza Mr. Dependable
Ariza gets you around 10 points a night. 2+ threes and sometimes 2+steals. He plays often and doesn’t miss many games. If you know what you’re getting he’s a dependable player that puts up good numbers. There’s a good chance that his field goal attempts go up with the sort of ball movement D’Antoni likes and I would think that only increases his value. Sam Dekker should come off the bench and will pose no real threat to Ariza's playing time.
K.J. McDaniel Very Deep League
If McDaniel gets any time he’s got sneaky value due to his ability to put up blocks and threes. That’s a useful and rare combination.
The itinerant shoulder model has moved home and the hirsuite Harden is poised to begin his reign as scoring champ under Mike D’Antoni. By hiring D’Antoni the Rockets are going all in on their gameplan of “score-first, defend-never” and the results should be pretty exciting for fantasy owners.
Newcomers Eric Gordon and Ryan Anderson bring with them great outside shooting as well as injury concerns. The exit of Dwight Howard leaves a big gap at the five that should provide Clint Capela with increased usage and minutes.
Player Movement
Notable Ins |
Notable Outs |
Eric Gordon New Orleans Pelicans
Nene Washington Wizards
Ryan Anderson New Orleans Pelicans
|
Dwight Howard Atlanta Hawks
Terrence Jones New Orleans Pelicans
Ty Lawson Sacramento Kings
|
Houston Rockets Depth Chart
Point Guard |
Shooting Guard |
Small Forward |
Power Forward |
Center |
Patrick Beverley
Pablo Prigioni
|
James Harden
Eric Gordon
K.J. McDaniels
|
Trevor Ariza
Corey Brewer
Sam Dekker
|
Ryan Anderson
Michael Beasley
Montrezl Harrell
|
Clint Capela
Nene
|
Rotation Player Projections
POS |
PLAYER |
USG |
MPG |
PTS |
REB |
AST |
STL |
BLK |
3PM |
FG% |
FT% |
TO |
SG |
James Harden |
36 |
36 |
30.4 |
5.8 |
7.9 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
3 |
43.9 |
86 |
4.8 |
C |
Clint Capela |
16 |
30 |
11 |
10.1 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
0 |
58.2 |
37.9 |
1.3 |
SF |
Trevor Ariza |
15.8 |
30 |
10.8 |
3.8 |
2 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
2 |
41.6 |
78.3 |
1.2 |
PF |
Ryan Anderson |
21.7 |
30 |
14.7 |
5.9 |
1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
42.7 |
87.3 |
1.2 |
PG |
Patrick Beverley |
15.4 |
29 |
10 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
43.4 |
68.2 |
1.3 |
SG |
Eric Gordon |
20.3 |
28 |
12.9 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
2.1 |
41.8 |
88.8 |
1.4 |
C |
Nene |
21.5 |
16 |
7.7 |
3.8 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0 |
54.4 |
57.8 |
1.1 |
PF |
Michael Beasley |
22 |
16 |
8.4 |
4.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
52.2 |
77.6 |
0.8 |
SF |
Corey Brewer |
15.9 |
15 |
4.7 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
38.4 |
75 |
0.7 |
PG |
Pablo Prigioni |
11.1 |
10 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0 |
0.4 |
37.4 |
87.5 |
0.6 |
Position Battles
Second Guard
I’m anticipating that D’Antoni rolls out a Gordon and Harden backcourt as often or more than he rolls out a Harden and Beverley backcourt. Beverley is a defensive specialist and I think D’Antoni values that less than having a knockdown shooter for his offense. Phoenix was deadly because the Stoudemire/Nash pick and roll would pull defenders away from the shooters waiting on the wings or in the corner. If those shooters are of the Eric Gordon/Ryan Anderson caliber then the defense has to respect the shooter and that opens up more space for the rolling big or for the PG to keep his dribble and drive. All of this works better with Harden handling the ball, and with Gordon as an active threat on the outside.
Rise in Value
James Harden
The usage will be higher. That’s all anyone knows for sure. Whether the fantasy boost is everywhere or just in certain categories is a matter of speculation. The general consensus is that his FG% will improve because of the floor spacing and the addition of better shooters, and his assists may actually increase since he’ll be passing to better shooters. I don’t foresee a big increase in points.
Clint Capela
One of my favorite picks for this year. Capela is poised for a huge year if his conditioning is good enough to keep him on the court for 25+. I’m anxious to see if he can effectively pick-and-roll with Harden. If that connection looks solid then watch out. CC has been working on his free throws in the offseason but he’s still quite terrible. If he starts putting up enough he could tank your FT%.
Decrease in Value
Patrick Beverley
If the Harden/Gordon backcourt takes off then Beverley’s minutes could drop low enough to render him fantasy useless.
Injury Risks
Eric Gordon
This year could be huge for Gordon if he stays healthy. As I mentioned above, I think he runs SG while Harden runs PG and that could work well for the Rockets. But his perennial troubles (last year it was a nagging finger injury) could hamper his ability to solidify his role on the team.
Ryan Anderson
Stretch fours look great in a D’Antoni system (e.g. Channing Frye with Phoenix) but Ryan will have to play through any one of his nagging and persistent issues.
Other Player Summaries
Trevor Ariza Mr. Dependable
Ariza gets you around 10 points a night. 2+ threes and sometimes 2+steals. He plays often and doesn’t miss many games. If you know what you’re getting he’s a dependable player that puts up good numbers. There’s a good chance that his field goal attempts go up with the sort of ball movement D’Antoni likes and I would think that only increases his value. Sam Dekker should come off the bench and will pose no real threat to Ariza's playing time.
K.J. McDaniel Very Deep League
If McDaniel gets any time he’s got sneaky value due to his ability to put up blocks and threes. That’s a useful and rare combination.