An Aggressive Fantasy Basketball Punting Strategy With Sleeper Picks

Punting is a great way to maximize your value in your draft in head to head leagues. Here is an aggressive punting strategy I have calculated using Hashtag Basketball's own projections. This strategy relies on traditional guard statistics and punts Turnovers, Field Goal Percentage, Blocks, and Rebounds. The key to this strategy is to grab enough Centers, and Power Forwards to field a team every night. It is ok to grab players like Kevin Durant, Kevin Love, and Ryan Anderson at their normal draft spots since you will get so much extra value from players like Damian Lillard and Isaiah Thomas. Going round-by-round (assuming a 10 team league) here is some great value:

Early First Round: James Harden, Steph Curry

Mid First Round: Kevin Durant. Harden is by far the best player for this strategy (and in my opinion, should always be the #1 pick) but Durant is great because he fills a PF roster spot.

Late First Round: Chris Paul, Damian Lillard, or Paul George. Kawhi is also great if he falls to you, he has no weaknesses in his fantasy game so he works in a lot of punting strategies.

Second Round: Wall, Irving, or Lowry. You can probably also get one of the players listed above, who went from 11-16 in the Hashtag Basketball league.

Third Round: Kemba Walker or Isaiah Thomas - this is great value with a top 10 value pick in the third round. If neither of these players falls to you, you can grab Melo or Love who fill valuable roster positions with good production.

Fourth Round: Bledsoe, Derozan, Conley, or Rubio. I personally prefer Rubio but these players all have their blemishes, so take the one you're most comfortable with. Love is also a great pick if he's still available. 

Fifth Round: Batum is a great choice here at SF and nearly top 20 value. I don't mind Anderson here either, but you might be able to get him next round. Tobias Harris is also great value if he falls to you here.

Sixth Round: If Ryan Anderson is still on the board, he is a great value to fill a C spot. Otherwise I would go for Danilo Gallinari, Darren Collison, Marc Gasol, or Jeff Teague.

Seventh Round: I don't think this is too early to take Jrue Holiday or Reggie Jackson (I prefer Jrue), but you can probably get him with your next pick. Dennis Schroder is good value here as well - you are getting the 26th ranked player with his ADP of 73.

Eighth Round: If Jrue is still available, now is a good time to pick him. Jeremy Lin is also exceptional value here. 

Ninth Round on: Most likely, you have 1 or 2 C and PF eligible players at this point - now you should focus on get high-upside players with positional flexibility to maximize your roster. Don't be afraid to grab more players like Delly, Hood, or Fournier if they are still around, these are top 50 value players with a late pick, you just need to avoid leaving the draft without enough Centers and Power Forwards.

Some great bigs to focus on late in the draft are:

Player Value Yahoo ADP
Harrison Barnes (PF) 85 98
Marvin Williams (PF) 87 107
Markieff Morris (PF, C) 100 119
Kelly Olynyk (C) 110 149
Channing Frye (PF, C) 121 134
Mirza Teletovic (PF) 124 138

Here are the entire projections, with values specific to this punting strategy: 

(Note there is no Yahoo position eligibility if the player is not in the top 150 of Yahoo ADP)

Rank Player Yahoo Pos Y ADP Punt TO+FG+BLK+REB
Fantasy Point Equivalent (FPE)
1 James Harden PG,SG,SF 3.3 184.24
2 Russell Westbrook PG 3.1 145.2
3 Stephen Curry PG,SG 1.8 144.8
4 Damian Lillard PG 11.7 140.34
5 Chris Paul PG 9.6 132.39
6 Isaiah Thomas PG 34.6 122.62
7 Kemba Walker PG 27.1 117.94
8 Kevin Durant SF,PF 2.6 115.69
9 Kyle Lowry PG 20.7 112.88
10 Paul George SF,PF 10.7 108.96
11 Kawhi Leonard SG,SF 7 99.71
12 John Wall PG 20.3 95.96
13 Kyrie Irving PG,SG 20.5 93.22
14 Danilo Gallinari SF 71.7 92
15 Reggie Jackson PG,SG 66.8 91.57
16 Jrue Holiday PG 95.4 90.29
17 Victor Oladipo PG,SG 26.2 86.3
18 Eric Bledsoe PG,SG 35 85.74
19 DeMar DeRozan SG,SF 41.6 85.22
20 Mike Conley PG 43 82.42
21 Ricky Rubio PG 49.7 82.18
22 Nicolas Batum SG,SF 56.7 80.75
23 C.J. McCollum PG,SG 33.9 80.63
24 Jimmy Butler SG,SF 15.4 80.54
25 Jeremy Lin PG,SG 97.2 78.89
26 Dennis Schroder PG 72.8 77.53
27 Gordon Hayward SG,SF 49.8 76.52
28 Darren Collison PG 68.3 75.57
29 Deron Williams PG 114.3 74.97
30 Jeff Teague PG 55.4 72.61
31 Carmelo Anthony SF,PF 28.7 71.99
32 Tyreke Evans PG,SG 117.9 67.29
33 Matthew Dellavedova PG,SG 138.6 66.68
34 J.J. Redick SG 91.5 65.5
35 Rodney Hood SG,SF 104 65.24
36 Tobias Harris SF,PF 45.4 64.98
37 Klay Thompson SG,SF 23.2 64.85
38 Brandon Knight PG,SG 78 64.6
39 Kevin Love PF,C 33.5 64.58
40 Wesley Matthews SG,SF 93.7 64.38
41 D'Angelo Russell PG 81.3 64.37
42 Evan Fournier SG,SF 80.7 63.67
43 Nikola Mirotic SF,PF 79.6 63.58
44 Dirk Nowitzki PF,C 55 62.28
45 Eric Gordon SG 119.8 61.88
46 Jae Crowder SF,PF 72 59.64
47 Robert Covington SF,PF 104.6 59.09
48 LeBron James SF,PF 8 58.25
49 Devin Booker SG 88.2 57.97
50 Jerryd Bayless PG,SG 145.1 57.27
51 Kent Bazemore SG,SF 101.8 56.01
52 Monta Ellis PG,SG 85.7 55.65
53 Jordan Clarkson PG,SG 91.8 55.26
54 Jamal Crawford SG,SF 131.5 54.85
55 Kristaps Porzingis PF,C 25.6 53.02
56 Ryan Anderson PF,C 72.1 52.55
57 Goran Dragic PG,SG 57.5 52.4
58 Trevor Ariza SG,SF 51.3 51.07
59 Malcolm Delaney - - 50.49
60 Paul Millsap PF,C 17.5 50.43
61 Buddy Hield SG 128.8 49.47
62 Zach LaVine PG,SG 65.9 48.81
63 Marc Gasol C 57.1 45.81
64 Nikola Jokic C 36.8 45.31
65 George Hill PG,SG 81.9 45.21
66 Marcus Smart PG 118.4 45.16
67 Anthony Davis PF,C 7.7 45.07
68 Dwyane Wade PG,SG 76.4 44.57
69 Rudy Gay SF,PF 63.3 44.3
70 Rajon Rondo PG 67.4 43.92
71 Patty Mills PG 138.7 43.78
72 Avery Bradley PG,SG 82.9 43.4
73 Brandon Jennings PG 138.9 43.14
74 Draymond Green SF,PF 19.2 42.78
75 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope - - 42.53
76 Danny Green SG,SF 98.7 42.46
77 Al Horford PF,C 19.8 42.39
78 Courtney Lee SG,SF 142 41.91
79 Wade Baldwin - - 41
80 Bradley Beal SG 78.1 40.93
81 J.R. Smith SG,SF 114.8 40.88
82 Patrick Beverley PG,SG 117.3 40.46
83 Bojan Bogdanovic SG,SF 138.2 40.25
84 Otto Porter SF 62.5 40.23
85 Harrison Barnes SF,PF 98 39.25
86 Karl-Anthony Towns C 6.3 38.87
87 Marvin Williams SF,PF 106.6 38.55
88 Kris Dunn PG 137.5 38.49
89 LaMarcus Aldridge PF,C 22 38.47
90 Sergio Rodriguez - - 38.08
91 Kyle Korver SG,SF 121.1 37.11
92 Louis Williams - - 36.79
93 Derrick Rose PG 108 36.41
94 D.J. Augustin - - 36.31
95 Gary Harris SG 110.1 35.91
96 Giannis Antetokounmpo PG,SG,SF 10.5 35.44
97 Ty Lawson PG 147.5 35.01
98 Manu Ginobili SG,SF 132.8 33.24
99 Emmanuel Mudiay PG 126.5 33.02
100 Markieff Morris PF,C 119.2 32.84
101 Andrew Wiggins SG,SF 41.9 32.57
102 DeMarre Carroll SF,PF 93.4 31.76
103 DeMarcus Cousins PF,C 13.9 31.7
104 Brook Lopez C 32.7 31.36
105 Luol Deng SF,PF 116.1 31.14
106 Chandler Parsons SF,PF 79.9 31.12
107 Gorgui Dieng PF,C 53.4 30.37
108 Mario Hezonja SG 139.9 30.11
109 Tyler Johnson PG,SG 142.8 30.1
110 Kelly Olynyk C 149.3 29.75
111 Tony Parker PG 126.2 29.47
112 Evan Turner SG,SF 136.9 28.27
113 Jamal Murray SG 143.8 28.25
114 C.J. Miles - - 27.36
115 Allen Crabbe PG,SG 146.2 27.19
116 Marcus Morris SF,PF 132.4 26.92
117 Pau Gasol PF,C 50.9 26.7
118 Will Barton SG,SF 132.6 25.56
119 Chris Bosh PF,C 102.1 24.9
120 Trey Burke PG 149.5 24.85
121 Channing Frye PF,C 134.1 24.73
122 Al-Farouq Aminu - - 24.5
123 Jose Juan Barea - - 23.8
124 Mirza Teletovic SF,PF 137.9 23.78
125 Gerald Henderson - - 23.38
126 Norman Powell - - 23.38
127 Jared Dudley - - 23.36
128 Sean Kilpatrick SG 142.3 23.08
129 Dante Exum PG 148.5 22.54
130 Blake Griffin PF,C 28.8 22.51
131 Caris LeVert - - 22.22
132 Seth Curry PG 139.8 21.82
133 Stanley Johnson SG,SF 139.6 21.63
134 Greivis Vasquez - - 20.65
135 Jabari Parker SF,PF 63.9 20.41
136 Arron Afflalo SG,SF 143.2 19.99
137 Wesley Johnson - - 19.72
138 Cameron Payne - - 19.71
139 Iman Shumpert SG,SF 130.6 18.56
140 Michael Carter-Williams - - 18.4
141 Jodie Meeks - - 17.94
142 Cory Joseph PG 137.5 17.79
143 Josh Richardson SG,SF 142.5 17.1
144 Nikola Vucevic PF,C 52.8 16.9
145 Enes Kanter C 80.1 16.86
146 Zach Randolph PF,C 104.5 16.75
147 Rondae Hollis-Jefferson - - 16.44
148 Matt Barnes SG,SF 141.4 16.24
149 Patrick Patterson PF,C 136.2 15.9
150 Sasha Vujacic - - 15.35
151 Shaun Livingston PG,SG 133.1 15.28
152 Doug McDermott SF 139 15.26
153 Kyle Anderson SF 151.7 15.12
154 Lance Thomas - - 15.08
155 Serge Ibaka PF,C 29.3 14.48
156 Joe Johnson SG,SF 140.7 14.48
157 Ben McLemore SG 138.4 14.12
158 Elfrid Payton PG 116.9 13.97
159 Jerian Grant - - 13.58
160 Andre Iguodala SG,SF 135 13.34
161 Jameer Nelson - - 13.23
162 Mike Dunleavy - - 12.92
163 T.J. Warren SF 148.5 12.78
164 Brandon Ingram SF 120.8 12.72
165 Tim Hardaway Jr. - - 12.66
166 Vince Carter - - 12.3
167 Aaron Brooks - - 12.21
168 Greg Monroe PF,C 74.7 12
169 Terrence Ross SG,SF 138 11.64
170 Rodney Stuckey - - 11.52
171 Dario Saric PF 137.3 11.35
172 Frank Kaminsky PF,C 137.7 11.04
173 Langston Galloway - - 10.4
174 Paul Pierce SF,PF 129.7 10.4
175 Solomon Hill SG,SF 143.5 10.21
176 P.J. Tucker SG,SF 140.7 10.13
177 Anthony Morrow - - 10.13
178 Wilson Chandler SG,SF 134.2 10.04
179 Zaza Pachulia C 138.8 9.98
180 Justise Winslow SF,PF 128.5 9.67
181 Ish Smith PG 136.4 9.59
182 Dion Waiters SG,SF 141.7 9.34
183 Kyle O'Quinn - - 9
184 Ersan Ilyasova SF,PF 145.4 8.37
185 Jeremy Lamb - - 8.32
186 Tomas Satoransky - - 8.08
187 JaMychal Green PF 139.1 7.78
188 Marco Belinelli - - 7.74
189 Mo Williams PG,SG 149.6 7.72
190 Derrick Favors PF,C 32.4 7.64
191 Meyers Leonard - - 7.25
192 Austin Rivers - - 7.16
193 Kris Humphries - - 6.4
194 Robin Lopez C 89.9 6.38
195 Thaddeus Young SF,PF 78.7 6.34
196 Rashad Vaughn - - 6.17
197 Shabazz Muhammad - - 5.91
198 Josh McRoberts - - 5.66
199 Randy Foye - - 5.65
200 Marreese Speights - - 5.11
201 Jon Leuer - - 5
202 Joffrey Lauvergne - - 4.84
203 Gerald Green - - 4.57
204 Tony Allen - - 4.31
205 Jonas Valanciunas C 38.8 3.96
206 Aaron Gordon SF,PF 71.3 3.54
207 Corey Brewer - - 3.42
208 Pablo Prigioni - - 3.22
209 Andre Roberson - - 2.8
210 Cody Zeller PF,C 136.2 2.75
211 Andrew Nicholson - - 2.63
212 Omri Casspi - - 2.09
213 David West PF 149 2.08
214 Derrick Williams - - 1.38
215 Brandon Bass - - 1.11
216 Roy Hibbert C 138 0.67
217 Luis Scola - - 0.64
218 Ramon Sessions - - 0.6
219 Dwight Powell - - 0.49
220 Jared Sullinger PF,C 129.1 0.36
221 Jose Calderon - - 0.31
222 Myles Turner PF,C 59 0.27
223 Devin Harris - - -0.32
224 Julius Randle PF 109.6 -0.4
225 Jaylen Brown SF 137.4 -0.4
226 Thabo Sefolosha - - -0.56
227 Larry Nance Jr. PF 141.6 -0.92
228 Tiago Splitter - - -0.95
229 Alec Burks PG,SG 149.6 -1.3
230 Trevor Booker PF 140.7 -1.37
231 Dragan Bender PF 147.5 -2.01
232 Cole Aldrich - - -2.06
233 Nik Stauskas - - -2.4
234 Tony Snell - - -2.65
235 Alex Len PF,C 139.2 -2.77
236 Trey Lyles PF 139.8 -3.01
237 David Lee PF,C 134.9 -3.02
238 Marcin Gortat C 64 -3.17
239 Shabazz Napier - - -3.26
240 Dante Cunningham - - -3.29
241 Brandon Rush - - -3.91
242 Tony Wroten - - -3.96
243 Bobby Portis PF,C 143.4 -4.91
244 Alonzo Gee - - -5.1
245 Dewayne Dedmon - - -5.42
246 Quincy Acy - - -5.68
247 Tyler Zeller - - -5.72
248 Aron Baynes - - -5.74
249 Taj Gibson PF,C 135.6 -6.07
250 Kevin Seraphin - - -6.17
251 Andrew Bogut C 123 -6.26
252 Kyle Singler - - -7.31
253 Jeff Green SG,SF 140.5 -7.76
254 Michael Beasley SF,PF 140.4 -7.85
255 Boris Diaw - - -8.25
256 Maurice Harkless - - -8.34
257 Ben Simmons SF,PF 99.7 -8.43
258 Jahlil Okafor C 95.1 -8.62
259 Terrence Jones SF,PF 146.1 -8.62
260 Kelly Oubre - - -8.62
261 Timofey Mozgov C 136.5 -8.65
262 James Ennis - - -8.7
263 James Ennis - - -8.7
264 Reggie Bullock - - -8.91
265 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist - - -10.18
266 Al Jefferson PF,C 125.8 -10.42
267 Nerlens Noel PF,C 62.4 -12.01
268 Marquese Chriss PF 143.7 -12.37
269 Joel Embiid C 121.9 -12.48
270 Hassan Whiteside C 13.8 -13.07
271 James Johnson - - -13.28
272 Willie Cauley-Stein - - -13.33
273 Jordan Hill - - -13.62
274 Jonas Jerebko - - -13.89
275 Joakim Noah PF,C 121.8 -13.95
276 Amir Johnson PF,C 143.9 -14.98
277 Chris McCullough - - -15.49
278 Jeff Withey - - -16.26
279 Ivica Zubac - - -16.31
280 Jusuf Nurkic C 107.7 -17.15
281 Mason Plumlee PF,C 123.5 -20.63
282 Lucas Nogueira - - -21.01
283 Kosta Koufos - - -21.8
284 Miles Plumlee - - -22.73
285 Tyson Chandler C 137.6 -23.71
286 Ian Mahinmi C 131.4 -24.26
287 Kenneth Faried PF,C 88.2 -25.67
288 John Henson PF,C 139.4 -26.12
289 Anderson Varejao - - -26.15
290 Ed Davis PF,C 142.8 -26.61
291 Nene - - -28.52
292 Brandan Wright - - -28.83
293 Steven Adams C 68.4 -30.4
294 Bismack Biyombo PF,C 107.9 -33.11
295 Tristan Thompson PF,C 115.4 -33.26
296 Omer Asik - - -34.42
297 James Michael McAdoo - - -34.58
298 Festus Ezeli - - -52.24
299 Rudy Gobert C 47.9 -52.29
300 Clint Capela PF,C 109.5 -86.67
301 Dwight Howard PF,C 74 -105.35
302 Andre Drummond PF,C 41.6 -129.26
303 DeAndre Jordan C 42.7 -137.4

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